Lib Dems 18
Jean T. 1
That's based on a combination of polls, hunches about specific races, effects of tactical voting, and the strange shifts in partisan voting that may take place. Plus, the ethos of "my enemies enemy is my friend" which will come into play in a lot of seats, especially here in the Western Isles.
65 seats forms a working majority. In the extremely unlikely circumstance that my predictions are right, then that leaves the current Labour - Lib Dem coalition short (and unable to carry the Greens with them, as the nuclear issue will get somewhat in the way). So the only two possible majority coalitions would be:
- SNP - Lib Dem - Green (tricky, but possible if Alex and Nicol agree to disagree about Independence): 67 seats
- Labour - Lib Dem - Tories (as likely as Celtic and Ranger merging, but would be very funny to see them try to make a pro-union "Anyone but the Nats" coalition like this work): 75 seats
Roll on thursday to see how wrong I am.